Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 165.362280 181.252282 197.489606 215.293120 234.235142 253.757004 275.367377
2025-02-16 139.306173 162.966466 188.251378 217.157235 249.160476 283.384098 322.622432
2025-02-23 112.905913 140.818089 171.965982 208.994137 251.500640 298.465305 353.966660
2025-03-02 94.441752 125.160851 160.851367 204.807307 256.900611 316.096391 387.856543
2025-03-09 81.815952 114.722243 154.389942 204.807390 266.237378 337.731659 426.265709
2025-03-16 72.435918 107.076672 150.278758 206.766596 277.293759 361.090698 466.758339
2025-03-23 66.940145 103.675186 150.865201 214.075724 294.625317 391.975204 516.556800
2025-03-30 61.109189 99.135448 149.423907 218.369089 307.942609 417.935489 560.626982
2025-04-06 54.746993 93.166821 145.501289 218.937287 316.177334 437.443174 596.829393
2025-04-13 49.350921 87.993153 142.149765 219.826516 324.516366 456.937074 633.065194
2025-04-20 46.243042 85.850040 142.726497 225.821970 339.469673 484.903673 680.219364
2025-04-27 43.239253 83.547035 142.824942 230.980672 353.244257 511.430027 725.801426
2025-05-04 40.616129 81.694358 143.551559 237.155685 368.740467 540.785656 775.954370
2025-05-11 38.017827 79.643959 143.829374 242.636658 383.377808 569.275644 825.488568
2025-05-18 32.632039 72.394380 135.757880 235.610013 380.385677 574.222789 844.314877
2025-05-25 28.641573 67.092381 130.278216 232.006969 381.883659 584.992667 870.754899
2025-06-01 25.934926 63.785937 127.697155 232.524449 389.098099 603.470984 907.547020
2025-06-08 23.862281 61.426455 126.462290 234.951392 399.002620 625.675975 949.525675
2025-06-15 23.008667 61.324525 128.926074 243.120989 417.374543 659.760656 1007.881404
2025-06-22 21.632511 60.033547 129.271628 247.911842 430.808152 687.127843 1057.418552
2025-06-29 19.706832 57.396310 127.114772 248.579228 438.048676 705.865658 1095.350173
2025-07-06 18.006968 55.027654 125.251924 249.578120 445.710161 725.210625 1134.250671
2025-07-13 17.238472 54.606100 126.816170 256.163644 461.886565 756.773923 1190.277393